Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Value Stabilization Continues

The Monthly Case Shiller Value Analysis data were released today. One of the sets provided by this analysis measures values in terms of tiered pricing; lower-priced homes, mid-priced and high-priced. I've been plotting the numbers for South Florida from the peak of the market to the present. It appears that values are leveling off as follows:

Low-Priced Tier (up to $267,899 at peak) reduced just over 60% today

Mid-Priced Tier (between $267,899 and $393,966 at peak) reduced around 50% today

High-Priced Tier (over $393,966 at peak) reduced by roughly 42% today.

While this stabilization seems logical against historical trends, the big spectre right now is a looming surge in foreclosures yet to hit the market. Some prognosticators predict a significant increase in the inventory of un-sold homes in coming months...so stay tuned.